Carvana stock falls as auto retailer’s 2026 earnings guidance misses Wall Street’s expectations
In this article
- CVNA
Shares of Carvana fell drastically during after-hours trading Wednesday after the company reported full-year guidance that failed to meet some of Wall Street’s expectations for the auto retailer.
Read more U.S. strikes Iran after surprise missile attack, dashing hopes of de-escalation
Carvana’s stock fell by more than 20% shortly after the company reported its second-quarter results and guiding for earnings of between $2.7 billion and $3 billion this year. The stock recovered some of those losses, but was still trading down roughly 10% before the company’s earnings call with analysts at 5:30 p.m. ET.
The guidance was lower than analyst expectations, which included forecasts of $3 billion to $3.2 billion from Deutsche Bank and $4.45 billion from Morgan Stanley.
Here’s how the company performed in the second quarter, compared with average estimates compiled by LSEG:
- 42 cents vs. 41 cents expected
- $7.38 billion vs. $6.91 billion expected
While topping Wall Street’s EPS and revenue estimates during the second quarter, Carvana’s total gross profit per unit, which is closely watched by investors, was down by roughly 6% and below some analyst expectations.
The guidance means the company expects a relatively flat second half of the year compared with the first six months, with between $1.3 billion and $1.6 billion in adjusted earnings during the second half of this year. Such results would easily top Carvana’s record $2.2 billion in adjusted earnings from 2025.
The new guidance follows the company reporting $1.4 billion in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization during the first half of this year, including a record $769 million during the second quarter that slightly topped LSEG estimates.
Carvana’s second-quarter results included net income of $513 million, up $205 million from a year earlier and a 38% increase in vehicle sales to 197,325 units from April through June.
Read more Starbucks stock jumps as coffee giant raises full-year outlook
The company did not break out its sales of used versus new vehicles, which Carvana has been expanding into through Stellantis franchised dealerships.
Carvana said it expects a sequential increase in retail units sold in the third quarter compared to the second quarter, which the company said marked its 10th straight quarter of being “the fastest-growing and most profitable automotive retailer – achieving both by large margins.”
“Q2 2026 was Carvana’s 10th consecutive quarter of industry-leading growth and profitability, and it was made possible by the foundations we laid in the 10 years prior,” Carvana CEO Ernie Garcia said in a release. “We built an experience customers love, our model gets better as we get bigger, and our execution is the key driver of our progress from here.”
Garcia in a quarterly letter to shareholders said the company remains on track to selling 3 million cars per year and achieving a 13.5% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2030 to 2035.
The company’s adjusted margin during the second quarter was 10.4%, down 2 percentage points from a year earlier as it pushes its expansion efforts.
“We have only 2% market share of used retail and 1.5% market share of all automotive retail. Our runway is huge,” Garcia said in the investor note.
Read more Analysis: Fed Chairman Warsh’s credibility in question after leaving interest rates unchanged